Thimbleberry Heat Pumps · Marketing plan 2027

420 installs next year, on a marketing budget of $210,000

Installs up 35% for a budget up 25%. This page is the whole plan: the goal, who we’re after, where the money goes, when, and how we’ll know. It takes five minutes to read.

From Leila Haddad, marketing leadFor Glenn Pelletier, Aisha Bello and Tom VargaSent Monday, November 23, 2026

01 The goal

Installs
420310 this year
Quote requests
1,7501,290 this year
Requests that become installs
24%the same as this year
Marketing cost per install
$500$542 this year

The sum behind it: 1,750 quote requests × 24% = 420 installs. At about $14,000 an install, that is $5.9 million of work, and marketing is 3.6% of it.

02 Who we’re trying to reach

Homeowners on oil about 1,200 requests

Aged 45 to 70, in a house built before 1990, with a boiler more than 15 years old. They act when a fuel bill shocks them or the boiler starts to fail. They want the monthly cost in dollars and proof that the house stays warm in January.

Recent buyers about 550 requests

Bought in the last 18 months and already renovating. They want cooling as much as heat, they decide faster, and they ask their new neighbors who to call. That is why referrals get more money in 2027.

Not in 2027: new construction, where the builder picks the system, and landlords with five or more units, which is a different sale.

03 Where the money goes

Seven lines. Each has a budget, the quote requests we expect from it, and what one request should cost.

ChannelShare of budgetBudgetRequestsPer request
Search adsPeople already looking for an installer
30%
$63,000525$120
Direct mailTwo drops of 9,000 postcards to streets on oil
20%
$42,000280$150
Referral rewardsA thank-you to the customer and to the neighbor
15%
$31,500350$90
Home shows and open housesTwo shows, two Saturdays in customers’ homes
12%
$25,200175$144
Website and guidesA running-cost calculator and six town guides
10%
$21,000315$67
Testing reserveHeld back for whatever is working by June
10%
$21,0000n/a
Email to past quotesThe 980 people we quoted this year who didn’t go ahead
3%
$6,300105$60
Total$210,0001,750$120

04 The year by quarter

Spending follows the weather and the crews. Installs trail quote requests by about six weeks.

Q1 January to March

The oil-bill quarter

  • January 4 Running-cost calculator goes live
  • Week of January 11 First mailer lands at 9,000 homes
  • All quarter Search ads on heating terms
Requests
480
Installs
85

Q2 April to June

Shows and open houses

  • April 10 and 11 Spring home show
  • May 15 and June 12 Open-house Saturdays
  • From May Ads switch from heat to cooling
Requests
420
Installs
105

Q3 July to September

Book before the frost

  • Week of August 16 Second mailer lands at 9,000 homes
  • September 18 and 19 Fall home show
  • All quarter Referral push to past customers
Requests
500
Installs
120

Q4 October to December

Fill the last slots

  • October Email past quotes about winter slots
  • November Search ads taper as crews book up
  • December The 2028 plan comes to this group
Requests
350
Installs
110

Four crews can install 40 a month between them, so the 120 in Q3 is the ceiling. Past that, more requests only make a longer wait.

05 How we’ll know it worked

What we watchTargetCheckedIf it’s off
Installs420 for the year: 85, 105, 120 and 110 by quarterMonthlyThis is the number that matters. The three below explain it.
Quote requests1,750 for the year, 480 of them by March 31Every MondayMore than 15% behind halfway through a quarter, and money moves from the weakest channel to the best one.
Cost per request$120 across all channelsMonthlyAny channel above $180 for two months running is paused.
Close rate24% of requests become installsMonthlyBelow 22%, we fix quote follow-up before buying more requests.

We review this page together on April 6, July 6 and October 5. I’ll update the numbers here the day before each one, at this same link.

06 What could go wrong

The close rate slips

At 20% instead of 24%, the same 420 installs need 2,100 requests, which is 350 more than this budget buys. Quotes sent within two days close best, so that is the first thing to protect.

The fourth crew starts late

The plan has the fourth crew installing from the middle of May. If it isn’t ready by June, we slow July spending and keep the money for the fall, when it can be used.

To approve: reply to Leila by Friday, December 4. A yes to the total is enough. The split between channels can still move in January.